govrl.io

Is It Normal to Barely Grow on YouTube After 2 Years? What to Fix First

Quang Hieu · 2026-10-04
Is It Normal to Barely Grow on YouTube After 2 Years? What to Fix First

Short answer: slow growth for two years is common, but it is not normal in the sense of "keep going and it will change". If 220 uploads have not moved a channel, the uploads are teaching the algorithm the same thing again and again. The fix is to change what you make and how you package it, starting from ideas that already won in your niche.

govrl.io homepage example: an outlier list for the niche "home cooking" over the last 7 days, YouTube videos ranked by Outlier Score from 47x down to 9x with each channel's subscriber count and views

The question from Reddit

A creator on r/youtubers posted numbers that a lot of small channels will recognise:

"I've been posting on my channel for 25 months now and I feel like growing is nearly impossible. I've posted 220 shorts and videos combined, over 500,000 views, and 421 subs."

Source: u/openmovie on r/youtubers, "Is It Normal To Barely Grow In 2 Years?"

The thread got more than 40 replies. Some were harsh, some were kind, and a few were genuinely useful. Below are the questions inside that thread, answered one by one, with what the best replies got right.

Is two years of slow growth normal?

It is common. One reply put it plainly:

"Yeah it's normal but it means you're doing something wrong."

Source: r/youtubers comment

Another creator in the same thread had posted weekly for two years and reached 198 subscribers. So you are not alone. But "common" does not mean "will fix itself". YouTube's recommendation system looks at what viewers watch, like, skip and come back for. If the same kind of video keeps getting the same lukewarm response, the system has no reason to show your next one to more people.

What changes a flat channel is usually one video that breaks out. A reply from a three-month-old channel said one video reaching 25,000 views in seven days was already pushing viewers to older uploads. That is how growth tends to look: flat, flat, flat, then a step.

Use it now: See which videos broke out in your niche this week

Why do I get views but almost no subscribers?

500,000 views and 421 subscribers is a subscribe rate below 0.1 percent. The views are real, but they are not turning into returning viewers. Three things usually cause this:

  1. Shorts traffic. Most of the views came from Shorts. Shorts viewers swipe a feed and rarely open your channel. One reply went as far as "Shorts kill small channels", which is too strong, but the point stands: a Short alone is a weak reason to subscribe.
  2. No clear promise. When the creator checked which videos brought subscribers, he said "there's no clear pattern". That is the problem. If a viewer cannot tell what the next video will be, they have no reason to subscribe.
  3. Weak long-form packaging. He agreed in the thread: "Definitely a thumbnail and title problem for long-form. And hook/presentation problem for short-form."

The fix is to pick one repeatable promise (for example, "Marvel news explained in 8 minutes, every Friday") and make every video, Short or long, clearly part of it.

Is my content just not good enough?

The top-voted reply said exactly that. It may be true, but it is not useful on its own, because "better" is vague. A more useful version came from another reply:

"Find a channel that does content similar to yours, look at their highest performing shorts, and see why their video is succeeding. Dont copy it, but look at things like their hook, their flow."

Source: r/youtubers comment

This is the right instinct, with one upgrade: do not look at a channel's most viewed videos. Look at its outliers, meaning videos that beat that channel's own normal. A 50k-view video on a channel that usually gets 5k tells you far more than a 2M-view video on a channel that always gets 2M.

govrl.io homepage section "What is the Outlier Score?": a channel's video grid where each video shows a multiple over the channel's own median, such as 7.9x and 11.5x

Use it now: Learn how the outlier score works

The topics were trending. Why did they still flop?

The creator said: "Those topics were all trending in my niche when I made them." Trending is not the same as proven for your size. When a topic trends, big channels cover it first and take most of the views. A small channel arriving a day later with an average thumbnail loses that race.

Better targets are ideas that worked for channels near your size. If two or three channels with 5k to 50k subscribers got 5x their normal views on an idea in the last 30 to 90 days, the idea works for small channels, not just for famous ones. That is the filter that trend lists do not apply.

What should I fix first: thumbnails, hooks or retention?

One of the most practical replies asked about retention first:

"What does your retention look like? Views don't mean much if only 10 people from 400 actually finish the video."

Source: r/youtubers comment

The same reply named two priorities: the thumbnail and title pair, and the first 60 seconds. That order is right for most small channels:

  1. Idea. Choose a topic that already outperformed for channels your size. A great thumbnail cannot save an idea nobody wants.
  2. Thumbnail and title. Make one clear promise. Compare your thumbnail side by side with the outliers you found; if yours is the one your eye skips, redo it. Our guide on thumbnails for small channels goes deeper.
  3. First 30 to 60 seconds. Deliver on the title quickly. Cut the intro, the channel greeting and the "before we start". The free Add opening hook skill on AgentAlley helps rewrite a slow opening.
  4. Retention through the middle. Check the retention graph in YouTube Studio for the drop points and fix the pattern in the next video, not the old one.

Use it now: Save the outliers you want to study in your swipe file

A 30-day plan to get unstuck

If you have been flat for a year or more, stop uploading on autopilot for a month and run this instead:

  • Week 1: research. List 20 outlier videos from channels within 3x of your size in your niche. Write down the idea, the title and what the thumbnail promises for each.
  • Week 2: pick and package. Choose the 3 ideas that show up more than once. Write 5 title options and sketch 3 thumbnails for each. Keep the strongest pair.
  • Week 3: make 2 long videos. Open each with the payoff in the first 15 seconds. Cut any section where you would skip if it were someone else's video.
  • Week 4: test with Shorts, then review. Cut 3 to 5 Shorts from each long video that point back to it. After 7 days, compare views per impression and average view duration with your old uploads.

If one of those videos beats your channel median by 3x or more, you have found your direction. Make the next one on the same idea, not on a new trend.

govrl Channel Analysis shown on the govrl.io homepage: a public channel's average views per video, upload rate and best-performing content buckets with median views

To study a competitor before you copy their idea, run a structured breakdown of their channel. The free YouTube channel analysis skill on AgentAlley gives you a checklist you can verify against real numbers.

Keep going, but change the inputs

The creator asked how others stayed motivated. The honest answer from the thread: the people who eventually grew did not just persist; they changed something. Persistence with the same inputs gives the same output. Persistence with better ideas, clearer packaging and faster openings is what turns two flat years into one good month.

Related reading

Câu hỏi thường gặp

Is it normal for a YouTube channel to grow slowly for two years?

It is common, but it is not a sign that time alone will fix it. Most channels that stay flat for two years are repeating the same packaging and topics. Growth usually starts when one video breaks out, and that video tends to be built on an idea the audience has already proven it wants.

Why do my Shorts get views but no subscribers?

Shorts viewers scroll a feed; they rarely visit your channel. If a Short does not promise more of something specific, there is no reason to subscribe. Use Shorts to test ideas, then turn the winners into long videos with a clear series promise.

How many subscribers should I have after 500,000 views?

There is no official ratio, but 421 subscribers from 500,000 views is under 0.1 percent, which tells you viewers like single videos but do not see a reason to come back. Fix the channel promise and the long-form packaging before you post more.

How do I find video ideas that are already proven in my niche?

Look for outlier videos, meaning videos that got several times more views than their own channel's median, from channels close to your size. Two or more outliers on the same idea is a strong signal.